The Liberals have the highest proportion of accessible voters, that is the proportion of Canadians who would consider voting for them, even as the latest Nanos nightly tracking has the three major parties locked within two percentage points of each other nationally, according to the latest data from Nanos Research for CTV and The Globe and Mail.

Voters were asked a series of questions about whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, to determine each party鈥檚 proportion of accessible voters.

The proportion of accessible voters for the Liberals rose to 50 per cent Monday evening, compared to 48.9 per cent the night before. The NDP's proportion of accessible voters rose only slightly to 45.1 per cent, up from 44.9 the night previous. The Conservatives also saw their proportion of accessible voters rise to 40.2 per cent, an increase of 0.3 per cent over the last poll.

The poll also found 24.7 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Green and 24.5 per cent of Quebecers would consider voting for the Bloc Quebecois.

When asked to rank their top two current local voting preferences if a federal election were held today, the polling found that the three major federal parties remain neck-and-neck-and-neck.

The latest results show:

  • the Conservatives with 31.3 per cent support
  • the Liberals with 30.3 per cent
  • the NDP with 29.4 per cent

The Greens have 4.6 per cent support nationally, while the Bloc has 3.4 per cent support (Quebec only).

The margin of error for 1,067 decided voters is ±3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Poll Methodology

A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign, using live agents.

The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Harper has slight advantage as preferred PM

According to the latest results from a survey conducted by Nanos Research for CTV and the Globe and Mail, Conservative Leader Stephen Harper has a slight advantage as preferred prime minister.

The nightly tracking showed:

  • 30.3 per cent of respondents chose Harper when asked who they would prefer as prime minister
  • 27.0 per cent preferred Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau
  • 26.1 per cent preferred NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair

Meanwhile, 6.1 per cent preferred Green Party Leader Elizabeth May and 9.0 per cent said they were unsure.

Survey respondents were asked "Of the current federal political party leaders, could you please rank your top two current local preferences for Prime Minister?"

Of those who chose Harper as their preferred prime minister, 39 per cent said they had no second choice.

Among those who chose Trudeau first, 53 per cent preferred Mulcair second. Of those who opted for Mulcair as their preferred prime minister, 51 per cent said Trudeau would be their second option.

A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Full poll at

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