The latest tracking by Nanos Research for 麻豆影视 and the Globe and Mail shows the Liberals gain an advantage as the election enters the Thanksgiving long weekend.
According to the latest numbers, which were released on Oct. 10:
- The Liberals have 34.8 per cent support nationally
- The Conservatives have 28.6 per cent support nationally
- The NDP have 24.9 per cent support nationally
- The Green Party has 5.4 per cent nationally
Poll respondents were asked "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"
Of those who chose the Conservatives first, 43 per cent said they had no second choice, while 52 per cent of those who chose the Liberals first chose the NDP second, and 50 per cent of those who chose the NDP first chose the Liberals second.
Nanos National Ballot tracking for 麻豆影视 and the Globe and Mail, released Oct. 10 (Nanos Research)
When asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider voting for a party:
- 50.5 per cent of respondents said they would consider voting Liberal
- 43.3 per cent would consider voting NDP
- 37.7 per cent would consider voting Conservative
- 26.2 per cent would consider voting Green
- 35.7 per cent would consider voting Bloc Quebecois (Quebec only)
Poll methodology
A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for 1,075 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Full at Nanos Research
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