TORONTO -- Despite a second wave of COVID-19 infections that threatens to climb to 20,000 daily cases across Canada, a found that about one-third of Canadians plan to visit friends and family for the holidays anyway.
In the new survey, taken late last month by Angus Reid in partnership with research firm Cardus, 30 per cent of the nearly 5,000 respondents said they will be visiting loved ones locally and 10 per cent said they planned to leave their community or province to do so.
Close to three-quarters of respondents said they believed 鈥渢he worst is yet to come鈥 and more than 80 per cent said they were concerned about friends and family becoming sick. Those who weren鈥檛 worried were twice as likely to be in the group planning to visit loved ones and three times more likely to leave the province for it, researchers said.
For several weeks now, provincial officials across the country have urged Canadians to reconsider get-together plans for the holiday season as infections surged nationally from a seven-day average of about 3,000 cases on Nov. 1 to more than 6,000 on Dec. 2.
In an emotional plea last week, Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister called himself 鈥渢he guy who鈥檚 to keep you safe.鈥 In his province, which has logged more than 400 deaths from COVID-19 so far, 20 per cent of those polled said they鈥檇 be visiting friends and family. In Quebec earlier this month, Premier Francois Legault to allow controlled gatherings for the holidays. In that province, which has recorded more than 7,200 deaths from the coronavirus, some 35 per cent planned to see loved ones. It鈥檚 a similar picture in Alberta, a province with about half the population of Quebec but a higher seven-day average for COVID-19 infections. Thirty-five per cent of respondents from Alberta said they plan to visit friends and family, and 12 per cent planned to leave their communities or the province for gatherings.
RCMP detachments across the country continue to report hundreds of fines related to pandemic restrictions, but health officials this fall have urged that more needs to be done. Last month, 麻豆影视鈥 infectious disease specialist Dr. Abdu Sharkawy said it was time to stop 鈥渁sking nicely.鈥
鈥淎t this point in time, I think we need to get our bylaw officers out,鈥 he said in mid-November. Since then, Canada has added close to 140,000 new cases of COVID-19.
Sgt. Janelle Shoihet, a spokesperson for the RCMP, said enforcement of provincial restrictions is a based on a detachment鈥檚 call volume and other priorities.
鈥淎t this time of the year our officers are focused on a number of other public safety related initiatives and calls, including but not limited to, impaired driving, investigating collisions, finding missing people or helping those in crisis. It is important to ensure these remain a priority,鈥 she wrote in the statement.
鈥淧ublic safety is a priority for the RCMP and we encourage everyone to adhere to the orders being implemented to keep everyone safe and reduce the risks. While we certainly can and will enforce the provisions available to us under the COVID Related Measures Act, we continue to encourage everyone to voluntarily comply with the provincial health orders, so enforcement is not required.鈥
The new poll puts numbers to what infectious disease specialist Anna Banerji called 鈥渁 lot of denial鈥 among Canadians.
鈥淚 don鈥檛 think people understand the significance of their actions,鈥 she told CTVNews.ca over the phone on Tuesday, adding that with each person added to a household 鈥渂ubble,鈥 the group becomes an 鈥渙pen circuit.鈥
With Christmas Day just 17 days away, there鈥檚 little space to practice a 鈥渞isk reduction鈥 approach, said Banerji. That would require Canadians to self-isolate for two weeks at home with no contact and ensure anyone else they鈥檙e seeing at Christmas does the same.
鈥淏ut we鈥檙e running out of time. If they鈥檙e planning on doing it, you have to make sure that someone鈥檚 not out there socializing with other people to make it safe. That鈥檚 the only way you can,鈥 she said.
National pandemic modelling released last month outlined a grim course for the COVID-19 pandemic, predicting 20,000 new cases daily by the end of the month if Canadians maintained their level of contacts. If contact rates increase this month, infections could exceed , the Public Health Agency of Canada added. Those figures don鈥檛 account for late-December holiday gatherings, since it takes about two weeks for behaviours on any given day to be reflected in the data.
Banerji doesn鈥檛 doubt that celebrations indicated in the Angus Reid poll will lead to a surge in COVID-19 infections in January.
鈥淚f people do gather during the holidays, there probably will be pretty significant outcomes from this,鈥 she said.
With files from CTVNews.ca Writer Ben Cousins
