The Bank of Canada announced a smaller-than-expected interest rate hike on Wednesday and said it was getting closer to the point where rate hikes could end, as it forecast the economy could possibly slip into a slight recession.
Below are some key quotes from a news conference by Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem on Wednesday, after the central bank raised key interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.75%.
"This tightening phase will come to a close. We're getting closer to that point, but we're not there yet. So we do expect interest rates will need to go up further and we will determine the pace based on developments going forward."
"Recently, we have seen some reduction in global energy prices, global supply chains have been resolving. But there's a lot of uncertainty globally. We could certainly see renewed disruptions in the energy market and increases in energy prices. We could see new disruptions of global supply chains. The bottom line is we cannot rely on global developments to bring inflation down in Canada."
"We have growth stalling for the next several quarters... To be more precise, growth is close to zero in the fourth quarter this year, and the first two quarters, the first half of next year. What that means is that, yes, a couple, two, three quarters of slightly negative growth is just as likely as two or three quarters of slightly positive growth. That's not a severe contraction, but it is a significant slowing of the economy."
"We are also seeing clear evidence that the economy is slowing."
"At our previous to meetings in July and September, we increased by 100 (bps) and by 75. So coming into this meeting, interest rates were already considerably higher. Combine that with the fact that there are now clear signs that the economy is slowing, we judge that it was appropriate to slow the pace of increase in our policy rates from very big steps to a big step."
"Looking forward, we also indicated that we expect interest rates will need to rise further. So that suggests that while ... that could be another larger than normal step, or we may be able to move to more normal, smaller steps. We are getting closer to the end of this tightening phase. But we're not there yet."
Reporting by Fergal Smith, Ismail Shail and Steve SchererCompiled by Denny Thomas
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